Natural Hazards Risk and Resiliency Research Center (NHR3)
Fault Displacement Hazard Initiative
Overview of New Models
A set of next-generation fault displacement models are being developed through the Fault Displacement Hazard Initiative project. Collectively, the new models are anticipated to provide improved estimates of probabilistic and deterministic fault displacement hazard by using a comprehensive modern database, compatible displacement metrics and predictor variables, and sophisticated statistical modeling.
Published Models
Preliminary versions of the new fault displacement and surface rupture length models are now published as technical reports by the Natural Hazards Risk and Resiliency Research Center (NHR3). Click the links below to access each report for free.
These preliminary models are currently undergoing minor revisions as part of the process for publishing in a peer-reviewed journal. Please check back in Spring 2025 for the updated models!
Click here to access a new surface rupture length model by Grigorios Lavrentiadis, Yongfei Wang, Norman Abrahamson, Yousef Bozorgnia, and Christine Goulet for all styles of faulting.
Click here to access a new fault displacement model by Robb Moss, Stephen Thompson, Chun-Hsiang Kuo, Kourosh Younesi, and Shu-Hsien Chao for reverse faulting events.
Click here to access a new fault displacement model by Nicolas Kuehn, Albert Kottke, Chris Madugo, Alexandra Sarmiento, and Yousef Bozorgnia for all styles of faulting.
Click here to access a new fault displacement model by Brian Chiou, Rui Chen, Kate Thomas, Christopher Milliner, Timothy Dawson, and Mark Petersen for strike-slip faulting events.
Click here to access a comparison of the new fault displacement models by the Alexandra Sarmiento, Grigorios Lavrentiadis, and the FDHI Project Model Developers.
