Letter to the Editor, Combining Probability Distributions from Experts in Risk Analysis

Publication Date Apr 30, 2000 by Kaplan S.

In their well-researched and almost unbelievably comprehensive paper, Clemen and Winkler (1) give a summary of my "Expert Information" method originally published in 1992. (2) From this summary, and from rereading the original paper, I recognize that in that paper I failed to adequately communicate my idea, probably because the idea at that time was newly formed in my mind.

From where I am now, I see that the paper glossed over and left fuzzy a part of the process that should be very sharp and clear. I would like to remedy that defect in the following.

Vol. 20, Issue no. 2, pp. 155-156, April 2000.

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